Can Somalia Hold Elections in 2016?
Saturday April 16, 2016
By Conor Gaffey
Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, pictured attending a ceremony in Pretoria, South Africa, on May 24, 2014. Mohamud and other Somali leaders are attempting to coordinate national elections in the war-torn Horn of Africa state before the end of 2016. MUJAHID SAFODIEN/AFP/GETTY IMAGES
If they are to be held in 2016, elections in Somalia will look nothing like what most Western observers are used to. According to theNLF’s communiquepublished on April 12, voting in Somalia will not follow the one-person, one-vote system utilized by the U.K. and the U.S. among others. Instead, there will be an electorate of just 13,750—Somalia’s total populationis10.5 million—for choosing the 275 members of the lower house of parliament. The electorate will largely be determined by 135 traditional elders, who hold positions of authority and function in political-judicial roles within their particular clans.
Somalia’s parliament is ostensibly bicameral, but the upper house has not yet been established. That is another task that must be completed before elections can take place and one that could hold particular challenges. The NLF communique states that 30 percent of seats be reserved for women in each member state (Somalia operates a federal system and is composed of 18 administrative regions). Such a lofty goal could prove difficult to achieve in a country ranked as thefifth most dangerous countryin which to be a woman in a 2011 Thomson Reuters Foundation poll.
"There’s a substantial amount of bureaucracy to take place beforehand,” says Ahmed Soliman, Somalia expert at international affairs thinktank Chatham House. "There’s still really no timeline for these processes to take place before the government’s mandate runs out, so there’s a lot of work to be done.”
Can Somalia Hold Elections in 2016?
Somalia has got a plan to hold elections in 2016. The troubled Horn of Africa stateis still emerging from decades of civil war and continues to be ravaged by an Islamist insurgency led bythe Al-Qaeda affiliated militant group Al-Shabab. But despite